Daily Market Notes
Timely notes on what moved and why: the Fed, energy, policy headlines and the tape reaction, written the day it happened.
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Revenue of $9.12B and EPS of $3.50 both cleared consensus, and Q4 guidance came in above. Management guided to flat gross margins, and the stock dropped after hours. Read →
Q4 revenue of $17.25B and non-GAAP EPS of $1.22 both cleared guidance. Gross margin came in at 66.3%, down 210 basis points year over year, and that is what the market traded. Read →
Revenue of $180.1M was up 74% year over year, with cloud at $126.6M and hardware at $54.1M. The market focused on the mix rather than the total. Read →
AMAT reports fiscal Q3 tonight with the call at 4:30pm ET. Company guidance is $8.95B plus or minus $500M on revenue and $3.36 plus or minus $0.20 on EPS. Read →
No ticket matched the numbers in the latest drawing, pushing the estimated jackpot to $1 billion. The last billion-dollar Powerball prize was claimed in Arkansas on Christmas Eve. Read →
Ted Decker is on leave expected to last a few months. CFO Richard McPhail and EVP Ann-Marie Campbell are jointly overseeing CEO operations. The shares fell anyway. Read →
Trian Fund Management, which already holds 16.24% of Wendy's, is reported to be working with BlueFive Capital and franchisee Flynn Group. The stock hit a Nasdaq volatility halt. Read →
July CPI publishes Wednesday, August 12 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern. The last reading had the all-items index down 0.4% on the month and up 3.5% over twelve months, which is the baseline every reaction will be scored from. Read →
The S&P 500 closed 0.06% lower at 7,753.11 while WTI climbed about 5% to $82.13. A one-day gap that wide between the oil tape and the equity tape is worth reading carefully. Read →
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs pulled in roughly $754 million for the week ending August 7 and Ethereum ETFs added about $245 million, a combined ~$1.0 billion and the strongest combined week since April. Read →
Asian shares edged higher Monday after Friday's record S&P 500 close, with European futures mixed. The theme heading into Wednesday's CPI print is selective leadership rather than broad participation. Read →
July payrolls fell 23,000 against a forecast of +80,000, moving September hold odds from 33% to 60% inside a week. Wednesday's CPI print is the test of whether that repricing survives. Read →
Tehran says the Oman corridor framework is close to final while hardening a separate list of US-facing conditions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Two negotiations are running in parallel and only one is moving. Read →
The FAO Food Price Index reached 131.1 in July, its highest since January 2023. Weather explains part of it; Black Sea disruption and the Gulf conflict explain the rest, and neither shows up in a soft US jobs print. Read →
Austin, Myrtle Beach, Las Vegas, Dallas and Cape Coral are seeing short-term rental occupancy fall while listings stay elevated. Failed rentals are converting into for-sale inventory. Read →
The 30-year fixed reached 6.69%, a fifth straight weekly increase and the highest in over a year. Purchase applications fell 4% week-over-week and pending sales hit multi-month lows. Read →
The S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow all posted their largest weekly percentage gains since April, with the S&P finishing at a record. Strong Q2 earnings and a soft July payrolls print did the work. Read →
The Trade Desk issued a third-quarter revenue outlook that missed elevated expectations and shares dropped more than 20%. It is the same pattern that hit Datadog this week. Read →
Brent hovered near the mid-$80s after a week of round trips on shifting reports of a temporary shipping arrangement through the Strait of Hormuz. Tanker flows, not headlines, set the risk premium. Read →
Gold moved above $4,300 and posted one of its strongest weekly gains of 2026 as real yields fell with the soft labor data. Official-sector buying and ETF inflows stayed supportive. Read →
Atlassian beat Q4 estimates on both revenue and cloud growth, and shares surged 35% after hours. The company is also giving away AI coding agents inside Jira at no extra cost. Read →
The July jobs report showed an unexpected loss of jobs. Traders read it as reducing the odds of a Fed rate hike, and stocks closed at a record Friday. Read →
The FDA approved mFlusiva for adults 50 and older, the first mRNA seasonal influenza vaccine cleared in the United States. The buying window for the 2026-27 season had already closed. Read →
Adjusted EPS of $0.65 on revenue of $1.12 billion, both ahead of consensus, billings up 38% and full-year guidance raised. The stock still dropped about 19%. Read →