Options flow recaps & market notes

Wellington finished July up 5.9% and roughly 12% for the year. It was up 0.45% through July 24. Nearly the whole month came from buying Situational Awareness distressed equity book. Read →

Adjusted EPS of $2.58 against $1.81 a year earlier, on revenue near $106.1 billion. Aetna medical benefit ratio improved to 87.4% from 89.9%, and full-year guidance rose to $7.90-$8.10. Read →

Revenue of $23.0 billion against a $20.7 billion consensus, with non-GAAP EPS of $8.38. Full-year guidance raised to $85-87 billion. Volume grew 60% while realised prices fell 13%. Read →

Gross bookings of $58.0 billion, up 24%, with trips up 18% to 3.9 billion. Third-quarter constant-currency bookings guidance of 18% to 22% put its ceiling at the growth rate just delivered. Read →

Revenue of $25.2 billion, up 7%, with adjusted EPS of $2.06 against a $1.86 consensus. Disney+ and Hulu operating income more than doubled to $712 million. ESPN operating income fell 17%. Read →

George Santos settled with the CFTC on July 31 over a Kalshi market on his own State of the Union attendance. He forfeits $17,570 in winnings, pays a $17,500 penalty, and takes a three-year trading ban. Kalshi flagged it first. Read →

WTI settled near $75.80 and Brent moved toward $80 after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz could arrive within a day. The geopolitical risk premium is compressing ahead of this week\u2019s labor data. Read →

First results as a public company. Revenue of $7.8 billion, up 92% and about $1 billion ahead of consensus. Starlink at 12 million subscribers. Group capex of $18.4 billion, most of it AI infrastructure. Read →

Q2 revenue of $11.5 billion, up 50%, with Data Center at $6.7 billion, up 107% and 58% of the company. Q3 guided to about $13 billion. Shares fell after hours. Read →

Q2 revenue of $20.5 billion, up 24% and a first-ever $20 billion quarter. Adjusted EPS of $8.17 against roughly $6.20 expected, a record $72.1 billion backlog, and full-year growth guidance raised to the mid-to-high teens. Read →

An August 4 disclosure: the Microsoft long is gone, the Oracle put is closed at a profit, and the Nvidia and QQQ puts have been rolled into 2027. The stock short book is unchanged. Read →

Q2 revenue of $1.935 billion, up 93%, with U.S. commercial up 149% and a 62% adjusted operating margin. The Rule of 40 score was 155%. Guidance carries the acceleration into the second half. Read →

Galaxy Research estimates 1,596 BTC stolen across three confirmed waves from a Coldcard firmware seed-generation flaw. Bitcoin's cryptography is intact. The failure was at the device layer. Read →

Apple briefly delisted Telegram worldwide on August 3 and 4 over prohibited content, then restored it once the material was removed and the user banned. Existing installs never stopped working. Read →

AstraZeneca and Bristol Myers Squibb discussed a combination valued near $400 billion. AstraZeneca shares fell as much as 9%. The asymmetry between buyer and target is the signal worth reading. Read →

SpaceX reports its first quarter as a public company after the close on August 4, with the stock well below its $135 IPO price. Starlink margins, launch cadence, Starship capital intensity and the lockup timing are what actually matter. Read →

Cheap yen funded a decade of asset purchases. When the trade reverses, capital leaves what it was supporting. How the mechanism works, what it moves, and one widely-repeated fact about Japan that is now out of date. Read →

Seven producers agreed a September increase that completes the unwinding of the 2023 voluntary cuts. Roughly 2 million bpd of 2022-era cuts stay in place, the statement said nothing about Q4, and Hormuz and Russian output sit between quota and supply. Read →

A 2021 firmware error routed Coldcard seed generation to a software PRNG instead of the hardware RNG, leaving 72 bits of entropy instead of 128. 1,196 wallets were drained in 41 minutes. What holders need to do. Read →

Tampa Bay acquired Peralta from the Mets for three prospects and $2.4 million in salary. He is 5-9 with a 4.99 ERA and a pending free agent. Why a thinner deadline market is not the same as a better one. Read →

Los Angeles acquired the best pitcher in baseball for River Ryan, Zyhir Hope and Brady Smith. What the price says about rental pricing, roster depth as optionality, and how fast a deadline trade reprices a market. Read →

On 2 August 2026 the RadarPulse confluence board paired invented options prints with genuine STOCK Act disclosures and put a confidence number on the result. What it did, why it happened, exactly what changed, and two commands you can run to check the fix yourself. Read →

Handset chip revenue fell 20% to $5.09B and net income fell 25%. Apple revenue guided down about 50% from the September to December quarter. Read →

Three times state revenue plus restitution and $100,000 per unauthorized bet. Kalshi removed the case to federal court in 8 hours; the CFTC intervened. Read →